作者: Sergey Kinzhikeyev , József Rohács , Dániel Rohács , Anita Boros , None
DOI: 10.3390/SU122410290
关键词: Technical systems 、 Approaches of management 、 Markov decision process 、 Computer science 、 Software 、 Emergency management 、 Statistical model 、 Disaster response 、 Markov model 、 Risk analysis (engineering)
摘要: Numerous investigations assess the technical, technological, and managerial aspects of disaster response related to large technical systems. This paper deals with possibility synthesizing these in a methodology, thus combining technological methods, tools, software art management. Its objective is develop preliminary methodology that supports management decision making processes earthquake-damaged The introduced demonstrated example railway It utilizes combination (i) probabilistic model system damage caused by earthquakes, (ii) Markov recovery phases, (iii) aftershocks, (iv) statistical secondary effects, (v) impact models support actions, (vi) process supported Decision Process. simulation results validate concept. Based on research results, authors recommend described approach be further specified implemented procedures.