The Political Resource Curse An Empirical Re-evaluation

摘要: Extant theoretical work on the political resource curse implies that dependence revenues should decrease autocracies’ likelihood of democratizing but not necessarily affect democracies’ chances survival. Yet most previous empirical studies estimate models are ill-suited to address this claim. We improve upon studies, estimating a dynamic logit model using data from 166 countries, covering period 1816 2006. find an increase in decreases autocracy’s being democratic over both short term and long has no appreciable effect persisting.