Food Security in a Changing Climate
作者： Hermann Lotze-Campen , Christoph Müller , Alexander Popp , Hans-Martin Füssel
DOI: 10.1007/978-94-007-4540-7_4
关键词: Tropics 、 Threatened species 、 Geography 、 Agriculture 、 Developing country 、 Food security 、 Effects of global warming 、 Adaptive capacity 、 Natural resource economics 、 Crop insurance
摘要: Climate impacts on agriculture strongly depend regional and local circumstances. While positive negative effects of climate change global may average almost compensate each other, the uneven spatial distribution is likely to harmfully affect food security in many regions. Food could be severely threatened, if tipping points system are exceeded. Developing countries tropics will face strongest direct impacts, while having lowest level adaptive capacity.
springer.com
sci-hub.st 参考文章(21)
William E Easterling, Pramod K Aggarwal, Punsalmaa Batima, Keith M Brander, Lin Erda, S Mark Howden, Andrei Kirilenko, John Morton, Jean-François Soussana, Josef Schmidhuber, Francesco N Tubiello, None, Food, fibre and forest products Cambridge University Press. pp. 273- 313 ,(2007)
G. Fischer, H.T. van Velthuizen, M.M. Shah, Climate Change and Agricultural Vulnerability Climate change and agricultural vulnerability.. ,(2002)
Francesco N. Tubiello, Jeffrey S. Amthor, Kenneth J. Boote, Marcello Donatelli, William Easterling, Gunther Fischer, Roger M. Gifford, Mark Howden, John Reilly, Cynthia Rosenzweig, Crop response to elevated CO2 and world food supply A comment on: Food for Thought... by Long et al., Science 312: 1918-1921, 2006 European Journal of Agronomy. ,vol. 26, pp. 215- 223 ,(2007) , 10.1016/J.EJA.2006.10.002
J. Antle, M. Apps, R. Beamish, T. Chapin, W. Cramer, J. Frangi, J. Laine, Lin Erda, J. Magnuson, I. Noble, J. Price, T. Prowse, T. Root, E. Schulze, O. Sirotenko, B. Sohngen, J. Soussana, H. Bugmann, C. Egorov, M. Finlayson, R. Fleming, W. Fraser, L. Hahn, K. Hall, M. Howden, M. Hutchins, J. Ingram, Ju Hui, G. Masters, P. Megonigal, J. Morgan, N. Myers, R. Neilson, S. Page, C. Parmesan, J. Rieley, N. Roulet, G. Takle, J. van Minnen, D. Williams, T. Williamson, K. Wilson, Ecosystems and Their Goods and Services Cambridge University Press. pp. 235- 342 ,(2001)
JUSTIN M. McGRATH, DAVID B. LOBELL, An independent method of deriving the carbon dioxide fertilization effect in dry conditions using historical yield data from wet and dry years Global Change Biology. ,vol. 17, pp. 2689- 2696 ,(2011) , 10.1111/J.1365-2486.2011.02406.X
MA Nearing, M.R. O'Neal, F.F. Pruski, Expected climate change impacts on soil erosion rates: A review Journal of Soil and Water Conservation. ,vol. 59, pp. 43- 50 ,(2004)
David. S. Battisti, R. L. Naylor, Historical Warnings of Future Food Insecurity with Unprecedented Seasonal Heat Science. ,vol. 323, pp. 240- 244 ,(2009) , 10.1126/SCIENCE.1164363
Hans-Martin Füssel, How inequitable is the global distribution of responsibility, capability, and vulnerability to climate change: A comprehensive indicator-based assessment Global Environmental Change-human and Policy Dimensions. ,vol. 20, pp. 597- 611 ,(2010) , 10.1016/J.GLOENVCHA.2010.07.009
Petra Döll, Impact of Climate Change and Variability on Irrigation Requirements: A Global Perspective Climatic Change. ,vol. 54, pp. 269- 293 ,(2002) , 10.1023/A:1016124032231
M.L Parry, C Rosenzweig, A Iglesias, M Livermore, G Fischer, Effects of climate change on global food production under SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios Global Environmental Change-human and Policy Dimensions. ,vol. 14, pp. 53- 67 ,(2004) , 10.1016/J.GLOENVCHA.2003.10.008