Development of a risk score for the prediction of incident dementia in older adults using a frailty index and health checkup data: The JAGES longitudinal study.
作者： Huei-Ru Lin , Taishi Tsuji , Katsunori Kondo , Yuichi Imanaka
DOI: 10.1016/J.YPMED.2018.04.004
关键词: Checklist 、 Framingham Risk Score 、 Longitudinal study 、 Gerontology 、 Proportional hazards model 、 Medicine 、 Observational study 、 Receiver operating characteristic 、 Dementia 、 Long-term care
摘要: In Japan, the prevalence of dementia is expected to reach 4.7 million by 2025. This study aimed develop a risk score for prediction incident in community-dwelling older adults. this longitudinal observational study, we used data from Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study (JAGES) conducted K City. We performed Cox regression analyses three models adults using frailty index and health checkup data. Analyses area under receiver operating characteristic curve were compare models' predictive abilities. identified 6656 (9.2%) individuals who developed during observation period. The C-statistics scores ranged 0.733 0.790. able predict may help non-medical professionals detect at an early stage.
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