Estimating a Primal Model of Regional Crop Supply in the European Union

作者: Torbjörn Jansson , Thomas Heckelei

DOI: 10.1111/J.1477-9552.2010.00270.X

关键词: EconometricsBayesian econometricsBayesian probabilityEuropean unionProduct (business)CropErrors-in-variables modelsEstimatorMathematicsRange (statistics)Agricultural and Biological Sciences (miscellaneous)Economics and Econometrics

摘要: This article estimates behavioural parameters of the quadratic regional supply models in modelling system CAPRI. Using time-series data CAPRI database, we directly estimate optimality conditions using a Bayesian highest posterior density estimator. After discarding regions with insufficient data, for up to 23 crop production activities related inputs, outputs, prices and functions are estimated 219 EU-27. The results systematically compared outcomes other studies. For aggregates (e.g. cereals, oilseeds, etc.) at national level, own price elasticities found be plausible range. On level individual crops, picture is much more diverse. As far as know, there no study similar product coverage.

参考文章(12)
Benjamin Van Doorslaer, Mihaly Himics, Shailesh Shrestha, Pavel Ciaian, EU wide regional impacts of climate change Research Papers in Economics. ,(2012) , 10.22004/AG.ECON.122546
Park M. Reilly, Hugo Patino-Lea, A Bayesian Study of the Error-in-Variables Model Technometrics. ,vol. 23, pp. 221- ,(1981) , 10.1080/00401706.1981.10486290
Thomas Heckelei, Hendrik Wolff, Estimation of constrained optimisation models for agricultural supply analysis based on generalised maximum entropy European Review of Agricultural Economics. ,vol. 30, pp. 27- 50 ,(2003) , 10.1093/ERAE/30.1.27
Jeroen Buysse, Guido Van Huylenbroeck, Ludwig Lauwers, Normative, positive and econometric mathematical programming as tools for incorporation of multifunctionality in agricultural policy modelling Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment. ,vol. 120, pp. 70- 81 ,(2007) , 10.1016/J.AGEE.2006.03.035
Quirino Paris, Richard E Howitt, None, An Analysis of Ill-Posed Production Problems Using Maximum Entropy American Journal of Agricultural Economics. ,vol. 80, pp. 124- 138 ,(1998) , 10.2307/3180275
Torbjörn Jansson, Thomas Heckelei, A new estimator for trade costs and its small sample properties Economic Modelling. ,vol. 26, pp. 489- 498 ,(2009) , 10.1016/J.ECONMOD.2008.10.002
A. O. LANSINK, J. PEERLINGS, Modelling the new EU cereals and oilseeds regime in the Netherlands European Review of Agricultural Economics. ,vol. 23, pp. 161- 178 ,(1996) , 10.1093/ERAE/23.2.161
Richard E. Howitt, Positive Mathematical Programming American Journal of Agricultural Economics. ,vol. 77, pp. 329- 342 ,(1995) , 10.2307/1243543
Rulon D. Pope, Richard E. Just, Random Profits and Duality American Journal of Agricultural Economics. ,vol. 84, pp. 1- 7 ,(2002) , 10.1111/1467-8276.00238
H. GUYOMARD, M. BAUDRY, A. CARPENTIER, Estimating crop supply response in the presence of farm programmes: application to the CAP European Review of Agricultural Economics. ,vol. 23, pp. 401- 420 ,(1996) , 10.1093/ERAE/23.4.401