CAPRI long-term climate change scenario analysis: The AgMIP approach

摘要: The current paper investigates the long-term global effects of crops productivity changes under different climate scenarios and impact biofuels expansion using Common Agricultural Policy Regionalised Impact (CAPRI) model. These analyses are conducted in framework AgMIP project (Agricultural Model Intercomparison Improvement Project). results indicate that globally there will be both winners losers, with some regions benefitting from agricultural production adjustment as a result change whilst most suffering losses consumption. Biofuel leads to land relocation away crop commodity new energy which is reflected lower levels commodities higher prices.