FIRM RESERVOIR YIELD—HOW RELIABLE ARE HISTORIC HYDROLOGICAL RECORDS?

摘要: ABSTRACT Reservoirs are of necessity always built on the basis incomplete hydrological information which introduces uncertainty into their design and operation. Since advent electronic digital computer attempts have been made to reduce in reservoir management by use synthetic hydrology simulation. It has found simulation that expected benefits from a proposed system often function stochastic process selected for hydrology, as well depending upon magnitude, choice driving parameters (commonly, mean, variance, lag one serial correlation Hurst's ‘h’). is suggested records two short most statistical tests too weak hydrologist be able pick ‘the correct’ world with any reasonable degree certainty. However, it would appear many problems places there sufficient data th...