Coronary heart disease risk prediction in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

作者: Lloyd E Chambless , Aaron R Folsom , A.Richey Sharrett , Paul Sorlie , David Couper

DOI: 10.1016/S0895-4356(03)00055-6

关键词: Von Willebrand factorAttributable riskRisk factorBody mass indexCardiologyPhysical therapyInternal medicineProspective cohort studyHeart rateEpidemiologyRisk assessmentMedicine

摘要: Risk prediction functions for incident coronary heart disease (CHD) were estimated using data from the Atherosclerosis in Communities (ARIC) Study, a prospective study of CHD 15,792 persons recruited 1987-1989 four U.S. communities, with follow-up through 1998. Predictivity which individuals had was assessed by increase area under ROC curves resulting adding nontraditional risk factors and markers subclinical to basic model containing only traditional factors. We also population attributable risk. The additional body mass index; waist-hip ratio; sport activity forced expiratory volume; plasma fibrinogen, factor VIII, von Willebrand factor, Lp(a); rate; Keys score; pack-years smoking; marker carotid intima-media thickness. These substantially improved future men, less women, increased risks.

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