How the Growing Gap in Life Expectancy May Affect Retirement Benefits and Reforms

作者: Alan J. Auerbach , Kerwin K. Charles , Courtney C. Coile , William Gale , Dana Goldman

DOI: 10.1057/S41288-017-0057-0

关键词: Risk managementInequalityIncome distributionEconomic growthEconomicsSocial securityDemographic economicsRetirement ageBirth cohortLife expectancyAffect (psychology)

摘要: Older Americans have experienced dramatic gains in life expectancy recent decades, but an emerging literature reveals that these are accumulating mostly to those at the top of income distribution. We explore how growing inequality affects lifetime benefits from Social Security, Medicare, and other programs this phenomenon interacts with possible program reforms. first project age 50 for males two highest quintiles will rise by 7 8 years between 1930 1960 birth cohorts, lowest experience little no increase over time period. This divergence cause gap average received men widen $130,000 (in $2009) Finally we simulate effect Security reforms such as raising normal retirement changing benefit formula see whether they mitigate or enhance reduced progressivity resulting widening expectancy.

参考文章(38)
Brent Mast, Don Fullerton, Income Redistribution from Social Security ,(2005)
Dean R. Leimer, A guide to Social Security money's worth issues. Social Security Bulletin. ,vol. 58, pp. 3- 20 ,(1995)
Julia Lynn Coronado, Don Fullerton, Don Fullerton, Don Fullerton, Thomas Glass, Long Run Effects of Social Security Reform Proposals on Lifetime Progressivity Social Science Research Network. ,(2000)
Jiemin Ma, Elizabeth M. Ward, Rebecca L. Siegel, Ahmedin Jemal, Temporal Trends in Mortality in the United States, 1969-2013. JAMA. ,vol. 314, pp. 1731- 1739 ,(2015) , 10.1001/JAMA.2015.12319
Alan Gustman, Thomas Steinmeier, Nahid Tabatabai, Distributional Effects of Means Testing Social Security: An Exploratory Analysis Social Science Research Network. ,(2014) , 10.3386/W20546
James P. Smith, The Impact of Socioeconomic Status on Health over the Life-Course Journal of Human Resources. ,vol. 42, pp. 739- 764 ,(2007) , 10.3368/JHR.XLII.4.739
Jay Bhattacharya, Darius Lakdawalla, Does Medicare benefit the poor Journal of Public Economics. ,vol. 90, pp. 277- 292 ,(2006) , 10.1016/J.JPUBECO.2005.01.001
S. Jay Olshansky, Toni Antonucci, Lisa Berkman, Robert H. Binstock, Axel Boersch-Supan, John T. Cacioppo, Bruce A. Carnes, Laura L. Carstensen, Linda P. Fried, Dana P. Goldman, James Jackson, Martin Kohli, John Rother, Yuhui Zheng, John Rowe, Differences In Life Expectancy Due To Race And Educational Differences Are Widening, And Many May Not Catch Up Health Affairs. ,vol. 31, pp. 1803- 1813 ,(2012) , 10.1377/HLTHAFF.2011.0746
Dana P. Goldman, James P. Smith, Neeraj Sood, Legal Status And Health Insurance Among Immigrants Health Affairs. ,vol. 24, pp. 1640- 1653 ,(2005) , 10.1377/HLTHAFF.24.6.1640
Julia Lynn Coronado, Don Fullerton, Thomas Glass, The Progressivity of Social Security B E Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy. ,vol. 11, pp. 70- ,(2011) , 10.2202/1935-1682.1843