Forecasting Co2 Mitigation and Policy Options for China's Key Sectors in 2010–2030

摘要: The technological status of seven key sub-sectors in three sectors (energy, industry and consumption) was analysed using bottom-up modelling. Using 2010 as a baseline, the paper predicts direct CO2 emission trends, turning points, reduction potentials costs for two policy scenarios technology years 2015, 2020 2030. scenario analysis shows that sector might reach its emissions peak between 2015 2020, which leaves more potential consumption sector. will increase through to 2030 without reaching point. In Social Low Control Middle (SL-CM) scenario, 0.84 billion tonnes CO2-eq by 2020. Within this, production contributes 13% reductions, transportation 48%, construction 39%. 2030SL-CM-scenario, rise 1.6 CO2-eq...