Simulation of the market penetration of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles in Korea
作者： Eunju Jun , Yong Hoon Jeong , Soon Heung Chang
DOI: 10.1002/ER.1358
关键词: Miles per gallon gasoline equivalent 、 Automotive engineering 、 Market penetration 、 Waste management 、 Market share 、 Hydrogen vehicle 、 Capital cost 、 Hydrogen economy 、 Green vehicle 、 Order (exchange) 、 Engineering
摘要: As fuel cell technologies are developed, hydrogen-powered vehicles receiving more interest. The hydrogen economy, particularly vehicle penetration into the Korean transportation market, is studied in this paper. Vensim, a system dynamic code, was used to simulate dynamics assuming various types of such as gasoline, hybrid electricity, and powered. Market share for each predicted using currently available data. results showed that era will not be bright by many people. main barrier cost. Thus, order expand (FCVs) cost needs dramatically reduced. Hydrogen-powered FCV cost, including operating capital costs, should reach $0.16 per kilometer seize 50% newly created market. However, if strong policies or subsidies implemented, here affected. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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