Toward the Next Generation of Assessment

摘要: Through integrative assessment, experts evaluate the state of knowledge on complex problems relevant to societies. In this review, we take stock recent advances and challenges, rooting our analysis in climate change assessment. particular, consider four priorities assessment: (a) integrating diverse evidence including quantitative qualitative results understanding, (b) applying rigorous expert judgment its uncertainties, (c) exploring widely ranging futures their connections ongoing choices actions, (d) incorporating interactions among decision makers assessment processes. Across these priorities, survey past experiences, current practices, possibilities for future experimentation, innovation, learning. era broader global change, can bolster decisions about contested uncertain futures. We both opportunities pitfalls synthesizing encompassing e...