A methodology for post-mainshock probabilistic assessment of building collapse risk

作者: N. Luco , A.B. Liel , M. Raghunandan , S.R. Uma , H. Ryu

DOI:

关键词: Reliability engineeringHazardFragilityBuilding collapseProbabilistic risk assessmentProbabilistic logicEmergency responseSeismic riskComputer scienceComponent (UML)

摘要: This paper presents a methodology for post-earthquake probabilistic risk (of damage) assessment that we propose in order to develop computational tool automatic or semi-automatic assessment. The utilizes the same so-called integral which can be used pre-earthquake couples (i) ground motion hazard information location of structure interest with (ii) knowledge fragility respect potential intensities. In proposed post-mainshock methodology, component is adapted account aftershocks are deliberately excluded from typical assessments and decrease frequency time elapsed since mainshock. Correspondingly, structural any damage caused by mainshock, as well uncertainty extent this damage. result fully-probabilistic quantification seismic inform emergency response mobilization, inspection prioritization, reoccupancy decisions.

参考文章(5)
Nicolas Luco, Bruce R. Ellingwood, Charles A. Kircher, Jeffrey K. Kimball, Ronald O. Hamburger, John D. Hooper, Risk-Targeted versus Current Seismic Design Maps for the Conterminous United States ,(2007)
N. Luco, P Bazzurro, M Motahari, C Menun, Ca Cornell, Advanced Seismic Assessment Guidelines Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center. ,(2004)
Robin K. McGuire, Seismic Hazard and Risk Analysis ,(2004)
C. Allin Cornell, Engineering seismic risk analysis Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America. ,vol. 58, pp. 1583- 1606 ,(1968)
Matt Gerstenberger, Stefan Wiemer, Lucile M Jones, Real-time forecasts of tomorrow's earthquakes in California: a new mapping tool Open-File Report. ,(2004) , 10.3133/OFR20041390