作者: Jun Ma , Hao Chen , Xiang Gao , Jianhua Xiao , Hongbin Wang
DOI: 10.1016/J.PREVETMED.2019.104861
关键词: Outbreak 、 Disease cluster 、 China 、 Distribution (economics) 、 Ecological niche 、 Geography 、 Contagious disease 、 African swine fever 、 Veterinary medicine
摘要: Abstract African swine fever (ASF) is a highly contagious disease that currently has no specific treatment or vaccine. In August 2018, ASF entered China causing great economic losses. this study, data on 98 cases in from 1st, 2018 to January 2019 were collected and analyzed. Spatio-temporal cluster directional distribution analysis performed characterize the of cases. High risk areas for outbreaks identified using presence-only maximum entropy (MaxEnt) ecological niche model. The Aug Jan showed significant trend (northeast-southwest) (P