African swine fever emerging in China: Distribution characteristics and high-risk areas.

作者: Jun Ma , Hao Chen , Xiang Gao , Jianhua Xiao , Hongbin Wang

DOI: 10.1016/J.PREVETMED.2019.104861

关键词: OutbreakDisease clusterChinaDistribution (economics)Ecological nicheGeographyContagious diseaseAfrican swine feverVeterinary medicine

摘要: Abstract African swine fever (ASF) is a highly contagious disease that currently has no specific treatment or vaccine. In August 2018, ASF entered China causing great economic losses. this study, data on 98 cases in from 1st, 2018 to January 2019 were collected and analyzed. Spatio-temporal cluster directional distribution analysis performed characterize the of cases. High risk areas for outbreaks identified using presence-only maximum entropy (MaxEnt) ecological niche model. The Aug Jan showed significant trend (northeast-southwest) (P

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