Transition towards decarbonised power systems and its socio-economic impacts in West Africa
作者： Ayobami Solomon Oyewo , Arman Aghahosseini , Manish Ram , Christian Breyer
DOI: 10.1016/J.RENENE.2020.03.085
关键词: Photovoltaic system 、 Cost of electricity by source 、 Electric power system 、 Greenhouse gas 、 Electricity 、 Natural resource economics 、 Energy transition 、 Renewable energy 、 Time horizon 、 Economics
摘要: Abstract Pathways towards a defossilated sustainable power system for West Africa within the time horizon of 2015–2050 is researched, by applying linear optimisation modelling to determine cost optimal generation mix meet demand based on assumed costs and technologies in 5-year intervals. Six scenarios were developed, which aimed at examining impact various policy constraints such as cross-border electricity trade greenhouse gas emissions costs. Solar PV emerges prime source Africa’s future system, supplying about 81–85% Best Policy Scenarios 2050. The resulting suggests that could fall from 70 €/MWh 2015 36 2050 with interconnection, 41 without interconnection Whereas, levelised emission Current Scenario €/MWh. Results indicate fully renewables least-cost, least-GHG emitting most job-rich option Africa. This study first its kind African sector long-term perspective.
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