Exact asymptotic analysis for metapopulation dynamics on correlated dynamic landscapes.

作者: Stephen J. Cornell , Otso Ovaskainen

DOI: 10.1016/J.TPB.2008.07.003

关键词: Biological dispersalRange (statistics)MathematicsOccupancyCorrelation function (statistical mechanics)Statistical physicsKernel (statistics)Asymptotic analysisMetapopulationMathematical optimizationStochastic process

摘要: We compute the mean patch occupancy for a stochastic, spatially explicit patch-occupancy metapopulation model on dynamic, correlated landscape, using mathematically exact perturbation expansion about mean-field limit that applies when dispersal range is large. Stochasticity in and landscape dynamics gives negative contributions to occupancy, former being more important at high latter low occupancy. Positive correlations always benefit metapopulation, but are only significant correlation length comparable to, or smaller than, range. Our analytical results allow us consider importance of spatial kernels all generality. find shape function typically unimportant, variance overwhelmingly most property colonisation kernel. However, short-range singularities either kernel can give rise qualitatively different behaviour.

参考文章(43)
Weidong Gu, Raimo Heikkilä, Ilkka Hanski, Estimating the consequences of habitat fragmentation on extinction risk in dynamic landscapes Landscape Ecology. ,vol. 17, pp. 699- 710 ,(2002) , 10.1023/A:1022993317717
Crispin W. Gardiner, Handbook of Stochastic Methods Springer Series in Synergetics. ,(1983) , 10.1007/978-3-662-02377-8
Michael A. McCarthy, David B. Lindenmayer, Spatially-correlated extinction in a metapopulation model of Leadbeater's Possum Biodiversity and Conservation. ,vol. 9, pp. 47- 63 ,(2000) , 10.1023/A:1008953426795
Antti Penttinen, Dietrich Stoyan, Recent applications of point process methods in forestry statistics Statistical Science. ,vol. 15, pp. 61- 78 ,(2000) , 10.1214/SS/1009212674
Ilkka Hanski, Otso Ovaskainen, The metapopulation capacity of a fragmented landscape Nature. ,vol. 404, pp. 755- 758 ,(2000) , 10.1038/35008063
R. Nathan, Long-distance dispersal of plants. Science. ,vol. 313, pp. 786- 788 ,(2006) , 10.1126/SCIENCE.1124975
Emmanuel Paradis, Stephen R. Baillie, William J. Sutherland, Modeling large-scale dispersal distances Ecological Modelling. ,vol. 151, pp. 279- 292 ,(2002) , 10.1016/S0304-3800(01)00487-2
O. Ovaskainen, S. J. Cornell, Space and stochasticity in population dynamics Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. ,vol. 103, pp. 12781- 12786 ,(2006) , 10.1073/PNAS.0603994103