作者: G. Apostolakis , S. Kaplan , B.J. Garrick , R.J. Duphily
DOI: 10.1016/0029-5493(80)90133-8
关键词: Mathematics 、 Specific risk 、 Specialization (logic) 、 Econometrics 、 Bayes' theorem
摘要: Abstract Bayes' theorem is used to derive plant specific distributions for the failure rates of components. Methods are suggested derivation generic from information that appears in literature. These as prior and they modified using data. The posterior thus derived can be inputs a risk analysis.