Lucky numbers: Choice strategies in the Pennsylvania Daily Number game
作者： Andrea R. Halpern , Scott D. Devereaux
DOI: 10.3758/BF03329930
关键词: Social psychology 、 Representativeness heuristic 、 Stochastic game 、 Stochastic process 、 Categorization 、 Statistics 、 Randomness 、 Mathematics 、 Distribution (number theory) 、 Lucky number 、 General chemistry 、 Catalysis
摘要: We examined the amount of money bet during a week Pennsylvania’s Daily Number game. In this game, players receive predetermined payoff for picking 3-digit number (000 to 999) drawn on that day. The betting distribution was distinctly nonuniform, and we identified several patterns, such as triples avoiding double 9s. addition, asked separate groups subjects rate selected numbers randomness, luckiness, perceived history winning; categorize numbers; free associate numbers. propose people seem choose highly patterned, available, and/or “lucky” People apparently do not reflect random process game (they utilize representativeness heuristic).
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