Regional Arctic sea–ice prediction: potential versus operational seasonal forecast skill

作者: Mitchell Bushuk , Rym Msadek , Michael Winton , Gabriel Vecchi , Xiaosong Yang

DOI: 10.1007/S00382-018-4288-Y

关键词: ArcticPrediction systemSea iceArctic ice packClimatologyLead (sea ice)Climate modelForecast skillEnvironmental sciencePredictability

摘要: … formal comparison of PM and OP Arctic sea–ice prediction skill … _c^2\) is the MSE of a climatological reference forecast, … of target month (the month we are trying to predict) and forecast …

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