Trend analysis and change point detection of annual and seasonal precipitation and temperature series over southwest Iran
作者： MOHAMMAD ZARENISTANAK , AMIT G DHORDE , R H KRIPALANI
DOI: 10.1007/S12040-013-0395-7
关键词: Winter season 、 Climate change 、 Series (stratigraphy) 、 Trend analysis 、 Change detection 、 Precipitation 、 Environmental science 、 Mean radiant temperature 、 Climatology 、 Maximum temperature
摘要: This paper presents results of trend analysis and change point detection annual seasonal precipitation, mean temperature (TM), maximum (TMAX) minimum (TMIN) time series the period 1950–2007. Investigations were carried out for 50 precipitation stations 39 located in southwest Iran. Three statistical tests including Pettitt’s test, Sequential Mann–Kendall test (SQ-MK test) rank (MK-test) used analysis. The obtained indicated that most showed insignificant trends series. Out which significant trends, highest numbers observed during winter season while no detected summer precipitation. Moreover, decreasing by revealed a increase spring seasons. TMAX was more stable than TMIN TM, compared to summer, autumn positive mutation points began 1990s.
springer.com
harvard.edu
core.ac.uk 
sci-hub.se 参考文章(37)
H. Shirgholami, B. Ghahraman, بررسی روند تغییرات دمای متوسط سالانه در ایران JWSS - Isfahan University of Technology. ,vol. 9, pp. 9- 24 ,(2005)
Ho Ming Kang, Fadhilah Yusof, Homogeneity tests on the daily rainfall series in Peninsular Malaysia ,(2010)
Mahmoud M. Smadi, Observed Abrupt Changes in Minimum and Maximum Temperatures in Jordan in the 20th Century American Journal of Environmental Sciences. ,vol. 2, pp. 114- 120 ,(2006) , 10.3844/AJESSP.2006.114.120
M Türkeş, UM Sümer, Spatial and temporal patterns of trends and variability in diurnal temperature ranges of Turkey Theoretical and Applied Climatology. ,vol. 77, pp. 195- 227 ,(2004) , 10.1007/S00704-003-0024-5
R. Sneyers, On the statistical analysis of series of observations. On the statistical analysis of series of observations.. ,(1991)
Mahyoub H. Al Buhairi, Analysis of Monthly, Seasonal and Annual Air Temperature Variability and Trends in Taiz City - Republic of Yemen Journal of Environmental Protection. ,vol. 01, pp. 401- 409 ,(2010) , 10.4236/JEP.2010.14046
Sheng Yue, Michio Hashino, LONG TERM TRENDS OF ANNUAL AND MONTHLY PRECIPITATION IN JAPAN1 JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association. ,vol. 39, pp. 587- 596 ,(2003) , 10.1111/J.1752-1688.2003.TB03677.X
Hossein Tabari, Safar Marofi, Changes of Pan Evaporation in the West of Iran Water Resources Management. ,vol. 25, pp. 97- 111 ,(2011) , 10.1007/S11269-010-9689-6
Reza Modarres, Vicente de Paulo Rodrigues da Silva, Rainfall trends in arid and semi-arid regions of Iran Journal of Arid Environments. ,vol. 70, pp. 344- 355 ,(2007) , 10.1016/J.JARIDENV.2006.12.024
V Mosmann, A Castro, R Fraile, J Dessens, J.L Sánchez, Detection of statistically significant trends in the summer precipitation of mainland Spain Atmospheric Research. ,vol. 70, pp. 43- 53 ,(2004) , 10.1016/J.ATMOSRES.2003.11.002