Reconstruction of monthly NAO and EU indices back to AD 1675

作者: Jürg Luterbacher , Christoph Schmutz , Dimitrios Gyalistras , Eleni Xoplaki , Heinz Wanner

DOI: 10.1029/1999GL900576

关键词: Environmental sciencePseudoproxyAtmospheric circulationClimatologyPrecipitationSeries (stratigraphy)Data availabilityIndex (economics)Systematic testingNorth Atlantic oscillationGeneral Earth and Planetary SciencesGeophysics

摘要: Instrumental station pressure, temperature and precipitation measurements proxy data were used to statistically reconstruct monthly time series of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Eurasian (EU) circulation indices back 1675. Systematic testing reconstruction procedure indicated generally reliable reconstructions throughout entire period, except for summertime before about 1750. Predictive skill varied different sub-periods depending on availability. It was highest autumn winter better EU than NAO index. Wavelet analysis suggested significant low-frequency variability, especially spring, summer annual averaged indices. The co-variability between found exhibit large decadal century timescale variations, indicating that climate variability over continent is temporarily decoupled from NAO.

参考文章(19)
R.S. Vose,, R.L. Schmoyer,, P.M. Steurer,, T.C. Peterson,, R. Heim,, T.R. Karl,, J.K. Eischeid,, The Global Historical Climatology Network: Long-term monthly temperature, precipitation, sea level pressure, and station pressure data Other Information: Environmental Sciences Division Publication No. 3912. ,(1992) , 10.3334/CDIAC/CLI.NDP041
Anthony G. Barnston, Robert E. Livezey, Classification, seasonality and persistence of low-frequency atmospheric circulation patterns Monthly Weather Review. ,vol. 115, pp. 1083- 1126 ,(1987) , 10.1175/1520-0493(1987)115<1083:CSAPOL>2.0.CO;2
Edward R Cook, Rosanne D D'Arrigo, Keith R Briffa, None, A reconstruction of the North Atlantic Oscillation using tree-ring chronologies from North America and Europe The Holocene. ,vol. 8, pp. 9- 17 ,(1998) , 10.1191/095968398677793725
Christopher Torrence, Gilbert P. Compo, A Practical Guide to Wavelet Analysis. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ,vol. 79, pp. 61- 78 ,(1998) , 10.1175/1520-0477(1998)079<0061:APGTWA>2.0.CO;2
Jürg Luterbacher, R Rickli, C Tinguely, E Xoplaki, E Schüpbach, D Dietrich, J Hüsler, M Ambühl, C Pfister, P Beeli, U Dietrich, A Dannecker, TD Davies, PD Jones, V Slonosky, AEJ Ogilvie, P Maheras, F Kolyva‐Machera, J Martin‐Vide, M Barriendos, Maria Joao Alcoforado, MF Nunes, T Jónsson, R Glaser, Jucundus Jacobeit, Christoph Beck, Andreas Philipp, U Beyer, E Kaas, T Schmith, L Bärring, P Jönsson, L Rácz, H Wanner, None, Monthly mean pressure reconstruction for the Late Maunder Minimum Period (AD 1675-1715) International Journal of Climatology. ,vol. 20, pp. 1049- 1066 ,(2000) , 10.1002/1097-0088(200008)20:10<1049::AID-JOC521>3.0.CO;2-6
C Appenzeller, TF Stocker, M Anklin, North Atlantic Oscillation Dynamics Recorded in Greenland Ice Cores Science. ,vol. 282, pp. 446- 449 ,(1998) , 10.1126/SCIENCE.282.5388.446