Climate change impacts on the distribution of venomous snakes and snakebite risk in Mozambique

摘要: This paper aims to understand the impacts of global climate change (GCC) on distribution dangerous venomous snakes and snakebite risk in Mozambique, as a contribution enhancement public health policies snake conservation. We modelled current future all 13 occurring Mozambique using ecological niche models assess likely estimated difference between lost gained climatic suitable area per species. In addition, we developed normalized index based species diversity species-specific traits for each time slice. then superimposed our data human population density identify areas most prone this burden. Our findings suggest considerable reduction climatically nine out species, with experiencing north-south range shift high rates turnover northern Mozambique. also found that GCC might alter spatial patterns country, increase future, affecting central southern regions. finding suggests will be harmful potentially adverse effects health. As induce approximation highly populated areas, efforts are needed knowledge prevention measures awareness relative safety attacking behaviour associated some studied here ensuring snakebites improving