Active Search for Probability Information and Recall Performance: Is Probability an Outstanding Element in the Mental Representation of Risky Decisions?

摘要: Recall performance of (1) actively searched information vs. prestructured by the experimenter and (2) probability non-probability in quasi-realistic risky decisions was investigated. 42 subjects decided 2 scenarios each. Information presentation varied within means Active Search method (O.Huber, Wider & O.W.Huber, 1997). After a frugal basic description scenario (prestructured information) ask questions receive answers until they subjectively have enough to decide (active search). In only 55% tasks searched. measured 48 hours afterwards as surprise task, showing being on average better recalled than other information. It is argued that general greater importance, because it matches specific needs decision maker during construction mental representation role differs between tasks. Actively risk control proposed one reason for this difference. If expected be successful, limited value.