作者: H. J. Schellnhuber
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-56843-5_2
关键词: Risk analysis (engineering) 、 Heuristic 、 Earth system science 、 Adaptation (computer science) 、 Environmental change 、 Research program 、 Key (cryptography) 、 Decision analysis 、 Computer science 、 Global warming 、 Environmental resource management
摘要: A research strategy based upon models of intermediate complexity addressing crucial aspects global environmental change is presented. The key idea behind that to compress system either by formal techniques such “first-order” are preserved, or employ semi-qualitative schemes describe and simulate the dominant dynamical patterns identified panoramic inspection. Specific realizations overall heuristic philosophy introduced as elements a comprehensive program on change. Topics encompass climate modeling, decision analysis framework for managing warming problem balancing adaptation mitigation efforts, generic approach integrated regional impact assessment its implementation in specific regions, well new technique link using advanced modeling tools.