Earth System Analysis and Management

作者: H. J. Schellnhuber

DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-56843-5_2

关键词: Risk analysis (engineering)HeuristicEarth system scienceAdaptation (computer science)Environmental changeResearch programKey (cryptography)Decision analysisComputer scienceGlobal warmingEnvironmental resource management

摘要: A research strategy based upon models of intermediate complexity addressing crucial aspects global environmental change is presented. The key idea behind that to compress system either by formal techniques such “first-order” are preserved, or employ semi-qualitative schemes describe and simulate the dominant dynamical patterns identified panoramic inspection. Specific realizations overall heuristic philosophy introduced as elements a comprehensive program on change. Topics encompass climate modeling, decision analysis framework for managing warming problem balancing adaptation mitigation efforts, generic approach integrated regional impact assessment its implementation in specific regions, well new technique link using advanced modeling tools.

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