A COMPETING DESTINATIONS APPROACH TO MODELING COMMUTING FLOWS: A THEORETICAL INTERPRETATION AND AN EMPIRICAL APPLICATION OF THE MODEL

摘要: Substantial changes in the transportation network are planned western Norway, and an evaluation of plans requires predictions generated traffic. This paper introduces a modified version competing destinations model as framework to obtain quantitative estimates how different aspects spatial structure affect commuting flows estimate discontinuities road flows. The was also used predict substitution tunnels bridges for ferries would change An economic interpretation is presented terms random utility theory hierarchical destination choice. A set parameters estimated which assigned region where disconnected owing numerous topographical barriers. Results show marginal increase traveling time by car deters more than ferry, but this conclusion reversed when distance measured physical units rather time. Quantitative deterrence effects inconvenience costs related mode presented. estimation results support hypothesis processing strategy with relatively low probabilities selecting individual large clusters. applied investment project that connects two islands each other mainland. main features flow pattern predicted persist, although it there will be significant number daily commuters across new connections.