Climate Change and Human Health

作者: Duane Gubler , Paul R. Epstein , Jonathan A. Patz , R. Brad Sack , Anthony J. McMichael

DOI:

关键词: Health risk assessmentClimate changeEnvironmental protectionPublic healthBusinessSanitationWater securityExtreme weatherFood securityPublic economicsGlobal warming

摘要: The article “Apocalypse not” by Gary Taubes (News & Comment, 7 Nov., [p. 1004][1]) addresses the issue of fundamental differences opinion among health scientists about impact climate on human health. While we acknowledge that there are strong in potential consequences future change disease incidence and distribution, share common concerns; wish to emphasize despite any differences, many areas where agree. The key questions behind climate/health research agendas are, How will alter risks, what extent risks be altered, can done mitigate increase risks? At is not which more important, factors or improved measures; rather, it important assess how might both industrialized vulnerable developing countries. The complexity this public entails far uncertainty than hazards with familiar. Impacts may occur indirectly through simultaneous disturbances other sectors, including water supply, food production, habitat. Thus far, have found great difficult communicating extra level uncertainty. We agree need improve understanding complex relationships between climatic conditions transmission dynamics. We also influenced multiple (none us argue only most factor). Well-designed studies must conducted gain a better these relate each all climate. Identifying risk influence planning, as data from become available, weather understood. We recognize extreme events such those accompany year's El Nino place an burden sanitation general systems. early regional forecasts obtained exemplify new predictive capabilities officials use their planning. Interdisciplinary interagency cooperation go toward improving assessment associated change. Ecology-based monitoring combined advances forecasting enhance our environmental provide warning systems allow timely interventions. The signatories letter importance infrastructure services worldwide. socioeconomic underpin status; effective sustainable prevention ultimately require improvement underlying conditions. It realize, however, projected profound aspects ecology, strongly recommend supported development strategies help its effect health. [1]: /lookup/doi/10.1126/science.278.5340.1004

参考文章(1)
M. King, Health is a sustainable state. The Lancet. ,vol. 336, pp. 664- 667 ,(1990) , 10.1016/0140-6736(90)92156-C