Spatial-Endogenous Fire Risk and Efficient Fuel Management and Timber Harvest

作者: M. Konoshima , C. A. Montgomery , H. J. Albers , J. L. Arthur

DOI: 10.3368/LE.84.3.449

关键词: Environmental resource managementFire seasonCommon spatial patternFire riskEnvironmental science

摘要: This paper integrates a spatial fire-behavior model and stochastic dynamic-optimization to determine the optimal pattern of fuel management timber harvest. Each year's fire season causes loss forest values lives in western United States. We use multi-plot analysis incorporate uncertainty about ignition locations weather conditions inform policy by examining role endogenous risk—where actions on one stand affect risk that adjacent stands. The results support two current strategies, but question other for managing forests with risk.

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