Servicios ambientales hidrológicos bajo escenarios de cambio climático en el Parque Nacional "El Chico", Hidalgo Hydrologic environmental services under climate change scenarios in the "El Chico" National Park, Hidalgo, Mexico

摘要: The environmental services provide ecosystems depend on predominant climate conditions of local scales, as well in the vegetation structure and composition. main goal present study was to simulate quantify impacts that a possible change have affect hydrologic regulation water infiltration capacity National Park “El Chico”, Hidalgo. It modeled geographic distribution climatic variables like temperature precipitation, taking baseline scenario period 1961-1990. were applied North American English models for scenarios A2 years 2020 2050. balance estimated according Thornthwaite modified or third version order, evaluate behavior different scenarios. results obtained by followins english model show decrease aquifer recharge 26% 32% 2050, respectively. considers an increase rate 6% 22% growing did not significant variations studied