The Indonesian Log Export Ban: An Estimation of Foregone Export Earnings

作者: Holly Lindsay

DOI: 10.1080/00074918812331335599

关键词: EarningsIndonesianPresent valueEconomicsRevenueEconometricsEconomic impact analysisCommerceCounterfactual thinkingEstimation

摘要: The paper examines the economic impact of Indonesian phased log export ban from 1981 to 1986, by means a counterfactual analysis which permits calculation hypothetical revenues under assumption that was not implemented. A graphic and numeric presentation is provided. present value range estimated cumulative losses USS (1980) 1.9 billion $3.1 billion.