Predicting the Onset of Cigarette Smoking in Adolescents: A Longitudinal Study

摘要: In a longitudinal study, the second-year-smoking status of adolescents who were initially Nonsmokers or Triers was predicted from their Year 1 standing on three types social psychological variables: Ajzen and Fishbein's factors (predicting smoking transitions attitudes, normative beliefs behavioral intentions about smoking); Jessor Jessor's distal variables more generalized personality perceived environment factors), extent models in an adolescent's milieu). The predictive power these categories compared. All classes statistically significant predictors transition, although Fishbein important for while initial Never Smokers. Moreover, each category made independent contributions to prediction transition. Finally, there several age sex differences relative importance predictor variables. Implications findings design effective prevention programs are discussed. Smoking might be if they aimed at specific high risk audience (as identified by current study) rather than general adolescent population.