作者: John Bongaarts , Charles F. Westoff
DOI: 10.1111/J.1728-4465.2000.00193.X
关键词: Unintended pregnancy 、 Fertility 、 Obstetrics 、 Population 、 Contraceptive prevalence 、 Abortion 、 Abortion rate 、 Birth rate 、 Medicine 、 Family planning 、 Social Sciences (miscellaneous) 、 Demography
摘要: This study examines the potential role of further increases in contraceptive prevalence and effectiveness reducing abortion rates. The model used this analysis links rate to its direct determinants including couples reproductive preferences practice implement these probability undergoing an avoid unintended birth when a fails or is not used. An assessment tradeoff between contraception yields estimates decline total that would result from illustrative increase 10 percentage points prevalence. effect varies among societies primarily because tendency obtain after pregnancy varies. For example population with 0.5 percentage-point avert approximately 0.45 abortions per woman assuming 95% effective. If all pregnancies were aborted be three times larger. Eliminating subsequent require rise level at which fecund women who do wish become pregnant 100% A procedure provided for estimating "perfect" (authors)