Cancer death epidemics in United States Black males: Evaluating courses, causation, and cures

作者: Bruce N. Leistikow , Alexander Tsodikov

DOI: 10.1016/J.YPMED.2004.12.011

关键词: MedicineCancer deathBlack maleGerontologyLung cancerPopulationMortality rateCancer Death RateDemographyCancerAge adjustment

摘要: Abstract Background. Estimates that smoking contributes 38–72% of the United States (US) Black male cancer death rate leave a wide range uncertainty. This paper uses additional and regional data, refined methods, to reassess range. Methods. study lung rates as an exposure index, linear regression, age adjusted US 1950–2001 1969–2001 (rates), formula: smoking-attributable fraction (SAF) = (1 − ((rate in unexposed) / (rate exposed))). Estimated unexposed between predicted for population with no cancers seen “nonsmokers.” Results. Lung 99.9% 99.8% variances non-lung non-stomach from 1950–1980 1950–1988, respectively (each P Conclusions. Smoking may cause most premature deaths temporal disparities men.

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