Towards Innovative Solutions through Integrative Futures Analysis - Preliminary qualitative scenarios

作者: W Cosgrove , G Fischer , M Floerke , E Hizsnyik , P Magnuszewski

DOI:

关键词: Management scienceFutures contractSet (psychology)ConfusionRepresentation (mathematics)Process (engineering)GeographyThe Conceptual Framework

摘要: This report presents preliminary results of developing qualitative global water scenarios. The scenarios are developed to be consistent with the underlying Shared Socio- Economic Pathways (SSPs). In this way different stakeholders in contexts (climate, water) can presented set avoiding confusion and increasing policy impact. Water based on conceptual framework that has been developd specifically for effort. provides clear representation important dimensions areas Nature, Economy Society embedded them. These critical used describe future changes a all Three SSP1, SSP2 SSP3 respectively. Hydro-economic classes introduced further differentiate within economic conditions specific regions and/or countries. process building these assumptions report, number challenges have met. conclusions section summarized possible ways tackling them described.

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