An integrated assessment framework for the analysis of multiple pressures in aquatic ecosystems and the appraisal of management options.

作者: A. Pistocchi , A. Udias , B. Grizzetti , E. Gelati , P. Koundouri

DOI: 10.1016/J.SCITOTENV.2016.10.020

关键词: Decision support systemProcess (engineering)WeightingWater Framework DirectiveOrder (exchange)Risk analysis (engineering)EngineeringRobustness (economics)Land use, land-use change and forestryEconomic analysisEnvironmental resource management

摘要: The contribution illustrates an integrated assessment framework aimed at evaluating the relationships between multiple pressures and water body status for purposes of river basin management. includes following steps. (1) Understanding how different affect bodies. This entails characterization biophysical state variables definition a causal relationship status. Therefore this step involves interaction experts bearing ecological understanding providing models to represent effect pressures. (2) Identifying relevant be addressed through appropriate measures improve (3) Evaluating reduction targets identified in basin, by weighting effort associated reducing individual potential benefits terms (4) Designing management creative process political discussion alternative options, balancing costs, effectiveness based on engineering economic analysis. (5) Simulating scenarios implementation programme order check their robustness against climate land use change. We discuss five steps framework, particularly science policy stages. review tools required each and, setting optimal pressure (step 3), we propose illustrate simplified multicriteria approach semi-quantitative assessment, which produces frontiers trade-offs spent measures, achievements.

参考文章(58)
Mort Webster, Chris Forest, John Reilly, Mustafa Babiker, David Kicklighter, Monika Mayer, Ronald Prinn, Marcus Sarofim, Andrei Sokolov, Peter Stone, Chien Wang, Uncertainty Analysis of Climate Change and Policy Response Climatic Change. ,vol. 61, pp. 295- 320 ,(2003) , 10.1023/B:CLIM.0000004564.09961.9F
Richard H. Moss, Jae A. Edmonds, Kathy A. Hibbard, Martin R. Manning, Steven K. Rose, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Timothy R. Carter, Seita Emori, Mikiko Kainuma, Tom Kram, Gerald A. Meehl, John F. B. Mitchell, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Keywan Riahi, Steven J. Smith, Ronald J. Stouffer, Allison M. Thomson, John P. Weyant, Thomas J. Wilbanks, The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment Nature. ,vol. 463, pp. 747- 756 ,(2010) , 10.1038/NATURE08823
Julián Ramajo-Hernández, Salvador del Saz-Salazar, Estimating the non-market benefits of water quality improvement for a case study in Spain: A contingent valuation approach Environmental Science & Policy. ,vol. 22, pp. 47- 59 ,(2012) , 10.1016/J.ENVSCI.2012.05.006
Julien J Harou, Manuel Pulido-Velazquez, David E Rosenberg, Josué Medellín-Azuara, Jay R Lund, Richard E Howitt, None, Hydro-economic models: Concepts, design, applications, and future prospects Journal of Hydrology. ,vol. 375, pp. 627- 643 ,(2009) , 10.1016/J.JHYDROL.2009.06.037
Christopher J. Brown, Megan I. Saunders, Hugh P. Possingham, Anthony J. Richardson, Interactions between global and local stressors of ecosystems determine management effectiveness in cumulative impact mapping Diversity and Distributions. ,vol. 20, pp. 538- 546 ,(2014) , 10.1111/DDI.12159
Detlef P. van Vuuren, Paul L. Lucas, Henk Hilderink, Downscaling drivers of global environmental change Enabling use of global SRES scenarios at the national and grid levels Global Environmental Change-human and Policy Dimensions. ,vol. 17, pp. 114- 130 ,(2007) , 10.1016/J.GLOENVCHA.2006.04.004
J. A. Velázquez, J. Schmid, S. Ricard, M. J. Muerth, B. Gauvin St-Denis, M. Minville, D. Chaumont, D. Caya, R. Ludwig, R. Turcotte, An ensemble approach to assess hydrological models' contribution to uncertainties in the analysis of climate change impact on water resources Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. ,vol. 17, pp. 565- 578 ,(2013) , 10.5194/HESS-17-565-2013