Modified Stationarity Tests With Data-Dependent Model-Selection Rules

作者: S. J. Leybourne , B. P. M. HcCabe

DOI: 10.1080/07350015.1999.10524816

关键词:

摘要: We describe some simple methods for improving the performance of stationarity tests (i.e., that have a stationary null and unit-root alternative). Specifically, we increase rate convergence test under alternative from O p(T) to p (T 2), then suggest an optimal method selecting order autoregressive component in fitted integrated moving average model on which is based. Simulation evidence suggests these modifications work well. apply modified procedure U.S. monthly macroeconomic data uncover new unit root unemployment.

参考文章(20)
E. J. Hannan, B. G. Quinn, The Determination of the Order of an Autoregression Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Methodological). ,vol. 41, pp. 190- 195 ,(1979) , 10.1111/J.2517-6161.1979.TB01072.X
Judith A. Giles, Sadaf Mirza, Some Pretesting Issues on Testing for Granger Noncausality Research Papers in Economics. ,(1999)
Judith A. Giles, Cara L. Williams, Export-led growth: a survey of the empirical literature and some non-causality results. Part 1 The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development. ,vol. 9, pp. 261- 337 ,(2000) , 10.1080/09638190050086177
Denis Kwiatkowski, Peter C.B. Phillips, Peter Schmidt, Yongcheol Shin, Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root: How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root? Journal of Econometrics. ,vol. 54, pp. 159- 178 ,(1992) , 10.1016/0304-4076(92)90104-Y
Pentti Saikkonen, Ritva Luukkonen, Testing for a Moving Average Unit Root in Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Models Journal of the American Statistical Association. ,vol. 88, pp. 596- 601 ,(1993) , 10.1080/01621459.1993.10476312
B.P.M. McCabe, An extension of Anderson's multiple decision procedure Statistics & Probability Letters. ,vol. 9, pp. 119- 124 ,(1990) , 10.1016/0167-7152(92)90004-O
Alastair Hall, Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series With Pretest Data-Based Model Selection Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. ,vol. 12, pp. 461- 470 ,(1994) , 10.1080/07350015.1994.10524568
S. J. Leybourne, B. P. M. McCabe, A Consistent Test for a Unit Root Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. ,vol. 12, pp. 157- 166 ,(1994) , 10.1080/07350015.1994.10510004
Serena Ng, Pierre Perron, Unit Root Tests in ARMA Models with Data-Dependent Methods for the Selection of the Truncation Lag Journal of the American Statistical Association. ,vol. 90, pp. 268- 281 ,(1995) , 10.1080/01621459.1995.10476510