Modelling the adoption of industrial cogeneration in Japan using manufacturing plant survey data

摘要: Abstract Electric power deregulation in Japan opens opportunity for further penetration of on-site generation (cogeneration) otherwise known as distributed generation. In the paper authors present a survey on Japanese industrial plants to fill existing gaps assessment modern cogeneration (combined heat and power, CHP). The objective is empirically examine CHP systems based cross-sectional binary models; second review diffusion trends by system vintage during 1980–2000 period manufacturing sector. econometric results point that probabilities embracing this technology increase, declining importance, with consumption, steam demand, operational hours well payback period, purchased power. For example shows used purpose exporting rather than meeting plant's own consumption. Some our are line those Dismukes Kleit (Resource Energy Econ. 21 (1999) 153) Rose Macdonald (Energy J. 12(12) (1991) 47). We also find unit increase satisfaction will lead 54% capacity. significant evidence cost effectiveness under conservative assumptions. Regarding influence performance indicators several plants, threw some unexpected nature CHP.