Accounting for Economic Factors in Socio-Hydrology: Optimization under Uncertainty and Climate Change

摘要: This paper reframes the socio-hydrology analysis as an optimization problem. To achieve this, we first develop a valuation scheme to estimate net benefits of development in flood plain, consisting obtained from land and housing, less costs management damage. Then look for optimal safety factor levee heightening strategy within ‘Technosociety’ scenario given time series future events. is further extended finding case uncertainty concerning timings intensities. We suggest approach both stationary non-stationary evolution dynamics examine how affected by magnitude climate change. find that preferred option depends strongly on value services area provides.