Insights from socio-hydrology modelling on dealing with flood risk - Roles of collective memory, risk-taking attitude and trust

摘要: The risk coping culture of a community plays major role in the development urban floodplains. In this paper we analyse, conceptual way, interplay culture, flooding damage and economic growth. We particularly focus on three aspects: (i) collective memory, i.e., capacity to keep awareness high; (ii) risk-taking attitude, amount is collectively willing be exposed to; (iii) trust reduction measures. To end, use dynamic model that represents feedback between hydrological social system components. Model results indicate that, one hand, by under perceiving (because short memory too much flood protection structures) combination with high severely limited because damages caused flooding. On other overestimation (long lack leads lost opportunities recession. There are many scenarios favourable resulting from trade-off measures combined low moderate attitude. Interestingly, gives rise situations which floodplain path dependent, history may lead growth or