作者: Robert J. Lempert , Michael E. Schlesinger
DOI: 10.1017/CBO9780511536038.003
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摘要: Introduction This book presents forecasts for a range of innovative energy technologies that might help stabilize atmospheric concentrations greenhouse gases during the course 21st century. These provide wealth important information those who wish to inform their view climate-change problem and actions governments or private sector take address it. But these chapters nonetheless present fundamental dilemma – one thing we know sure about is most them are wrong. How then should use in this shape policy? The difficulty resides not so much themselves as methods commonly employ bring they contain bear on adjudicating among alternative policy choices. Generally, argue by first settling our what will happen future using understanding decide response. For instance, if came believe, through arguments such book, there were cost-effective technological means greenhouse-gas emissions, be more likely support policies sought achieve stabilization. We often make nonquantitatively, even systematically. There also host powerful mathematical tools, based techniques optimization, us systematize elaborate style thinking future.