Divining Nuclear Intentions: A Review Essay

摘要: Although projections of nuclear proliferation abound, they rarely are founded on empirical research or guided by theory. Even fewer studies informed a comparative perspective. The two books under review—The Psychology Nuclear Proliferation: Identity, Emotions, and Foreign Policy, Jacques Hymans, Logics: Alternative Paths in East Asia the Middle East, Etel Solingen, welcome exceptions to this general state affairs, represent cutting edge nonproliferation research. Both works challenge conventional conceptions sources weapons decisions offer new insights into why past predictions rapid failed materialize current prognoses about rampant similarly flawed. While sharing number common features, including focus subsystemic determinants national behavior, differ their methodology, level analysis, receptivity multicausal explanations, assumptions decisionma...