Modeling the impact of climate change on the dynamics of Rift Valley Fever.

摘要: A deterministic SEIR model of rift valley fever (RVF) with climate change parameters was considered to compute the basic reproduction number and investigate impact temperature precipitation on . To study effect , sensitivity elasticity analysis were performed. When effects are not considered, is more sensitive expected infected Aedes spp. due one livestock elastic climatic data used, found be eggs laid by via transovarial transmission, followed for both regions Arusha Dodoma. These results call attention regarding incubation period, adequate contact rate livestock, infective periods spp., vertical transmission in species.