MODELING THE EFFECT OF SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ON SEA TURTLE NESTING ACTIVITIES BY INVESTIGATING SEASONAL TRENDS

摘要: . In the present study, a series of models have been developed in order to investigate effect sea water temperature upon nesting activities marine turtles. Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models, ARIMA with transfer functions and regression were for forecasting variations breeding activity loggerheads, at island Zakynthos, West Greece. Identification development was determined by use several statistical criteria. Weekly data turtles emerging attempts number nests laid analyzed compared surface (SST) series. Our results indicate that whether SST included describe both emergence nests, tended improve fitting accuracy. Data further correlated observation data. Adding previous current year including resulted higher accuracy performance.