Variability and uncertainty assessment of patulin exposure for preschool children in Flanders.

摘要: Abstract The objective of the present study was to evaluate patulin exposure children consuming organic, handcrafted or conventional apple juice through a probabilistic approach and effectiveness several risk management options aiming reduce for due exposure. However, large part data on contamination fell under limit detection (LOD). Different methods were tested deal with these so-called left censored uniform distribution uncertain bounds selected handle this censorship. Variability uncertainty assessment showed that 0.9% [90% confidence interval (CI): 0.3–1.8%] only organic exceed tolerable daily intake (TDI). For consumers respectively 0.1% CI: 0–0.3%] 0% 0–0.2%]. Reduction in concentrations below 25 μg/kg reduced percentage exceeding TDI [90%CI: 0–0.2%] juice. consumption less effective than reduction concentration is useful when 25 μg/kg.