The History of Statistics: The Measurement of Uncertainty before 1900

摘要: Introduction PART 1: The Development of Mathematical Statistics in Astronomy and Geodesy before 1827 1. Least Squares the Combination Observations Legendre 1805 Cotes's Rule Tobias Mayer Libration Moon Saturn, Jupiter, Enter Laplace's Rescue Solar System Roger Boscovich Figure Earth Laplace Method Situation Invention 2. Probabilists Measurement Uncertainty Jacob Bernoulli De Moivre Expanded Binomial Bernoulli's Failure Moivre's Approximation Deficiency Simpson Bayes Simpson's Crucial Step toward Error A Bayesian Critique 3. Inverse Probability Choice Means Deduction a Curve Errors 1772-1774