Producing reliable mortality estimates in the context of distorted population statistics: the case of Moldova

摘要: Background and Aim Despite having a functioning population register, the official demographic indicators in Moldova are seriously biased. The problem arises primarily because registration of deaths births covers only events that occur within country (the de facto population), whereas at risk includes Moldovan citizens who live abroad jure population). Because has high levels emigration, there substantial differences between numbers. Thus, nominator-denominator bias must be taken into account statistics. To obtain plausible rates, appropriate corrections size have to made. Our aim is estimate population, produce reliable mortality estimates for longest period possible. Data Methods We rely on data obtained from various sources. These include data, census counts, annual collected archives or directly National Bureau Statistics. Using alternative administrative sources, we first correct population. then generate adjusted estimates. Finally, basis estimates, life tables. All calculations performed using methodology programming tools developed Human Mortality Database (HMD) Project. Results corrected 18 percent lower than figures. expectancy birth 2014 64.94 years males 73.74 females. figures are, respectively, 2.58 1.65 consistent with unpublished data. Complete tables 1970–2014, as well some other HMD statistics, provided supplementary material. Conclusions show even when serious distortion it possible This issue highly relevant not just Moldova, but European countries also been experiencing problems incorrect migration. improve quality their will increasingly consult