A demographic, spatially explicit patch occupancy model of metapopulation dynamics and persistence

摘要: Patch occupancy models are extremely important and popular tools for understanding the dynamics, predicting persistence, of spatially structured populations. Typically this endeavor is facilitated either by from classic metapopulation theory focused on explicit, dispersal-driven colonization–extinction dynamics generally assuming perfect detection, or more recent hierarchical site that account imperfect detection but rarely include spatial effects, such as dispersal, explicitly. Neither approach explicitly considers local demographics in a way can be used future projections. However, despite being arguably equal importance, dispersal connectivity, demography, modeled simultaneously. Understanding spatiotemporal occurrence patterns populations making biologically realistic long-term predictions persistence would benefit simultaneous treatme...