Mapping and characterising the dynamics of emerging technologies to inform policy

作者: Lionel Villard , Michel Revollo , Douglas K. R. Robinson , Philippe Larédo , Axel Lagnau

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摘要: The project aims at developing a framework and its tools for mapping the dynamics of emerging technologies (MDET) Emerging are growing issue policymaking, as is mirrored by new European FET programme. Policies funding agencies face ‘voices’ researchers asking public support what they consider promising technology. This happens when we past initial Reference du formulaire : ANR-FORM-090601-01-01 2/15 exploration stage ‘frontier research’. Initial claims have been recognised relevant this has started attracting other researchers. How can their be assessed how on-­‐‑going developments characterised? To answer question, propose that developed in three steps. analysis number case studies (3 our colleagues from SPRU 3 IFRIS) enabled to identify key dimensions. In return these driven us mobilise, combine complement existing theories. third step tested existence instruments characterise situation, and, some aspects, developments. report presents both (with selected examples illustrate deployment). The made 5 dimensions visualised petals flower It builds on proposal Nedeva that, understand science, one needs field space characteristics. Field relates socio-­‐‑cognitive which scientometrics proposes multiple analytical instruments. They help characterising content technology, core set concepts, theories methods constitute it; same time it helps identifying actors networks form (dimension 1: delineating technology field). Far less work dealing with “Space” source four petals. second dimension deals field-­‐‑level institutional conditions: ideas products circulated discussed. mostly journals, conferences professional associations organise them. One result emphasize role ‘champions’ types, ‘institutional entrepreneurs’ (who foster enactment different environments). central characteristics champions visions field, corresponding expectations. dimension: promise & Research does not happen vacuum: employed organisations, funded programmes, may or become policy priority. Barre et al. proposed analyse ‘national systems’ policies complementary levels: orientation, programming performance. fourth ‘embedding However exhibit critical dimension, shaping transforming markets seldom taken into consideration emergence: here aspects build fifth markets’: ‘niche markets’ enable entering learning curve; arenas collective roadmaps construction ‘market infrastructures’ will market generalisation (through rules, norms values).

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