Future climate change impacts on summer surface ozone from regional climate‐air quality simulations over Europe

摘要: [1] Regional climate-air quality simulations were performed over Europe for two future decades, 2041–2050 and 2091–2100 under IPCC A1B scenario the control decade 1991–2000. The serve as a theoretical experiment investigating impact of changing climate on summer surface ozone. Our suggest that changes in ozone imposed by change until 2040s are below 1 ppbv more pronounced 2090s. median near temperature whole is 2.7 K higher at end 21st century than to 20th with intense increase simulated southern Europe. A prominent feature decrease cloudiness mostly western associated an anticyclonic anomaly which favors stagnant conditions weakening westerly winds larger part 50°N. Biogenic emissions double simulation latitudes 50° together circulation patterns, temperature, solar radiation, contribute enhanced average concentrations century. southwest Europe, where increases 6.2 ppbv. Sensitivity biogenic emissions, radiation have comparable examined range perturbations. maximum response perturbations was seen