The End of the Demographic Transition: Relief or Concern?

摘要: Demographic transition theory might seem to imply that, after a period of exceptional population growth resulting from the time lag between mortality and fertility declines, every population, then whole world will stabilize and, consequently, no more acute problems appear. Does claim, recently gaining credibility, that end is at hand actually stage without major problems? Nothing less sure. First, it just realization which still entails dramatically rapid in some countries, especially poorest. But tellingly, also paradigm on we have been relying understand anticipate demographic changes. Nobody knows what ensue later: How long low can fall? high life expectancy increase? far aging go? As many questions answer probably as whose size cannot even imagine lie ahead.