Steps toward "useful" hydroclimatic scenarios for water resource management in the Murray-Darling Basin

作者: Anthony S. Kiem , Danielle C. Verdon-Kidd

DOI: 10.1029/2010WR009803

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摘要: [1] There is currently a distinct gap between what climate science can provide and information that practically useful for (and needed by) natural resource managers. Improved understanding, model representations, of interactions the various drivers (both regional global scale), combined with increased knowledge about processes hydrological at scale, necessary improved attribution change impacts, forecasting range temporal scales extreme event risk profiling (e.g., flood, drought, bushfire). It clear has long way to go in closing these research gaps; however, meantime water managers Murray-Darling Basin, elsewhere, require hydroclimatic projections (i.e., seasonal multidecadal future scenarios) are regionally specific and, importantly, take into account associated uncertainties, both variability anthropogenic change. The strengths weaknesses approaches supplying this discussed paper.

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